Elections

Tulare's duplicate ballots are real. They don't show cheating.

The registrar blames a printer for sending 7,791 Tulare voters a second ballot. Places where voters must ask for mail ballots sent duplicates too.

· @EricLDaugh · on XThe post we're checking
🚨 NOW: Residents are shocked after nearly ONE IN FIVE registered voters in Tulare, California just got TWO mail-in ballots for the same election, right in the middle of a House battleground

The county's fix is a postcard telling voters to "securely destroy" the extra ballot. Trump is right, this is the MESS mass mail-in voting creates! 😠

The registrar blames a print vendor during a "ballot replacement procedure”

The county says 7,791 voters in the city got a duplicate packet. Tulare has just over 34,000 registered voters

Stop the cheat!

[The post carries a 10-second video labeled "Animated with Grok." Its preview shows Trump beside a California map with one county in red.
Screenshot of the post on X, cut off by X's "Show more." Full text in the transcript. Shown for commentary.
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🚨 NOW: Residents are shocked after nearly ONE IN FIVE registered voters in Tulare, California just got TWO mail-in ballots for the same election, right in the middle of a House battleground The county's fix is a postcard telling voters to "securely destroy" the extra ballot. Trump is right, this is the MESS mass mail-in voting creates! 😠 The registrar blames a print vendor during a "ballot replacement procedure” The county says 7,791 voters in the city got a duplicate packet. Tulare has just over 34,000 registered voters Stop the cheat! [The post carries a 10-second video labeled "Animated with Grok." Its preview shows Trump beside a California map with one county in red.]
Posted Oct 18, 2026464.7K views and about 15K likes on X as of Nov. 2. The LA Times reports screenshots also spread widely on Facebook.See the original

The bottom line

A printer's error, the registrar says, sent 7,791 voters a second ballot, about 23% of the city of Tulare's registered voters. Nothing we found shows cheating, and the county says a barcode check flags a second ballot. Places where voters must request mail ballots sent duplicates too. We found no measure of whether universal mailing makes it more common.

The claims

What the post says or clearly implies, checked one by one. How verdicts work

1

Nearly one in five registered voters in Tulare, California, got two mail ballots for the same election.

Checks out

The count is 7,791 voters, all in the city of Tulare, county officials said. That is about 23% of the city's voters, a bit more than the post says, and about 3% of the county's.

County officials reported 7,791 duplicates among more than 227,000 registered voters countywide, all sent to the city1. The city has just over 34,500 registered voters, and the LA Times puts the share at about 23% in the city and 3% in the county2.

The registrar's first statement paired the 7,791 with "0.03%"3, and a local report ran that as the share of city voters4. That would be about 10 people. The 7,791 is about 3.4% of the county, by our calculation, so the figure looks like a misplaced decimal.

The "House battleground" part needs one trim. Only portions of the city are in the 22nd District, where Rep. David Valadao and Randy Villegas are in a close race2.

2

The county's fix is a postcard telling voters to "securely destroy" the extra ballot.

Missing context

The postcard is real, but it isn't what stops a second vote. The county says each return envelope's barcode is tied to the voter's record and checked before a ballot is accepted for counting.

Staff scan the barcode, record the return, compare the signature and check whether the person has already voted, registrar Michelle Baldwin told the Times. A second ballot "will be flagged"2. When Green Bay sent duplicates to 152 voters this year, one returned two, and both were voided after officials alerted the voter5.

Tammy Patrick of the National Association of Election Officials told Snopes that no one gets to vote twice in a jurisdiction because they got two ballots: "That does not happen." She also said it's up to officials "to make sure that the security protocols are there and are followed"6. Votebeat says duplicates "hardly ever" lead to double voting5. In Tulare, officials learned of the error from voters' calls2, and a Fresno State professor said returning two ballots would be "a mess" for counting1.

When Fresno County reissues a ballot, its registrar says only the most recent counts and earlier ones are void7. Tulare's postcard says either packet can be used, and the registrar says extras are "automatically" rejected3.

3

The duplicate ballots in Tulare are a sign of cheating ("Stop the cheat!").

Wrong

The evidence points to a printing error, which the registrar says the vendor has accepted. No official or report we found says a second ballot has been counted so far.

Baldwin says the county's longtime printer, ProVote Solutions, "has accepted full responsibility," and that it confirmed a batch of nearly 7,800 was accidentally reprinted and mailed. The company didn't immediately respond to the Times2. Valadao's campaign said it has "a lot of faith" in the registrar. Villegas said he has "confidence" in the process2.

Another post with 78K views said "it's Democrats cheating again"8. The Times describes the city as Republican-leaning and says the county voted for Trump three times2. Gunther Eagleman's post asked the county to name the vendor and show how duplicates get flagged9, and those are fair questions. The Times has since reported the vendor's name and Baldwin's account of the check2.

Snopes found no documented case of extra ballots producing multiple votes at a scale that could skew a result6. One study put double voting at about one in 4,000 voters in 2012, and an audit suggested less10. It tracked people recorded as voting on two registrations. Duplicate mailings are a different thing.

4

This is the mess mass mail-in voting creates.

Missing context

Mailing everyone may make such errors bigger, since more packets go out. But states where voters must ask for mail ballots had duplicates too, and no data we found compares rates.

California mails ballots to all active voters11, one of eight states set up for all-mail elections12. Illinois, Georgia, Iowa, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania aren't on that list, and voters there apply, though Illinois has an opt-in permanent list and Pennsylvania an annual one13,14,15,16,17.

Those states had duplicates too. Kane County, Ill.: 2,000 of 43,000 mailed, about 4.7% by our calculation18. Athens-Clarke County, Ga.: 1,15419. Warren County, Iowa: 61315. Madison, Wis.: 2,215 in 202420. Westmoreland County, Pa.: 15721. Snopes counted at least 10 reports in eight states this cycle, including Utah6.

The post has a point on scale. Tulare's was the largest accidental double mailing we found this fall. Maryland's primary was bigger and different: a vendor error led that request state to reissue ballots to everyone who had requested one, more than 500,000 people5,22. Fresno County says at least 15,000 voters got a second ballot, which its registrar ties to legally required reissues7. Neither the Bipartisan Policy Center's 2026 report nor the federal 2024 survey report counts duplicates mailed23,24.

The real disagreement

Facts can't settle this part, so we don't rule on it.

Should a state mail every registered voter a ballot, or send ballots only to voters who ask?

Eight states and D.C. allow all elections to be conducted by mail12. Trump has repeatedly alleged, without providing evidence, the Times says, that mail voting leads to widespread fraud, and he has focused on California. The Times reports the Supreme Court blocked his attempt to restrict mail ballots before this election2.

Mail a ballot to every voter

Voting should be the default, and security belongs at the point where a ballot comes back.

Default mailing removes a step between a voter and a ballot. A causal study of California, Utah and Washington found about 2 points more turnout and no advantage for either party25. Colorado's 2013 overhaul bundled mailing with other changes. Per-vote costs fell about 40% overall from 2008 to 2014, in the 46 counties with data, and provisional ballots fell from 39,361 in 2010 to 981 in 201426.

Washington's then-secretary of state, Kim Wyman, a Republican, reported 142 fraud cases among 3.2 million ballots in 2018: "it's not rampant voter fraud either"27. In Republican-led Utah, legislative auditors "did not observe significant fraud" this year, and a limited review found one likely double vote28,29. Undeliverable ballots also flag stale records: of 54 states and other jurisdictions sending confirmation notices, about 65% report using undeliverable mail ballots to identify potentially ineligible voters24. An unreturned ballot isn't a vote.

Send ballots to voters who ask

A request confirms who wants a ballot and where it should go, which a voter list can't do.

Pew estimated in 2012 that one in eight registrations, about 24 million, were invalid or significantly inaccurate30. In 2024, about 1.8% of mailed ballots came back undeliverable in all-mail states, against about 0.9% elsewhere, by our unadjusted calculation from federal data31. The 2005 Carter-Baker commission, while faulting absentee voting generally, said vote by mail outside Oregon is "likely to increase the risks of fraud" where people move often or safeguards are weaker32.

Utah chose to phase out its system by 2029, when voters must opt in. Gov. Spencer Cox said the law would "restore trust"33. A 2024 audit found 1,400 deceased voters, 700 of whom got a ballot and two of whom voted in 202334. This year's audit found 70 possibly deceased registrants. About a third were sent ballots, none fraudulently cast28. The turnout study lacks direct evidence on no-excuse request programs25.

Where they agree

  • Both campaigns in the district voiced confidence that duplicates won't lead to double votes2.

What would change minds

  • A count of duplicate mailings per ballot sent, reported the same way in universal and request states.
  • How many duplicates voters returned in each county, and what happened to them.

Sources

Every source was opened and read. Advocacy groups are labeled as such.

Show all 34 sources
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    Post by Catturd on the LA Times story
    X2026-10-21Primary document
  9. 9
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    Vote by Mail
    California Secretary of StatePrimary document
  12. 12
    Table 18: States With All-Mail Elections
    National Conference of State Legislatures2026-08-07Research
  13. 13
    Voting by mail
    Illinois Legal Aid OnlineJournalismLegal-help nonprofit, not a state office.
  14. 14
    Vote by absentee ballot
    State of GeorgiaPrimary document
  15. 15
    More than 600 Warren County voters received an extra absentee ballot
    Des Moines Register, via Yahoo News2026-10-20Journalism
  16. 16
    Vote absentee by mail
    Wisconsin Elections Commission (MyVote Wisconsin)Primary document
  17. 17
    Mail-in and absentee ballots
    Pennsylvania Department of StatePrimary document
  18. 18
    Processing error leads to 2,000 duplicate Kane mail-in ballots
    Kane County Chronicle (Shaw Local)2026-09-29Journalism
  19. 19
    Second Absentee Ballot Mistakenly Mailed to 1,154 Athens-Clarke County Voters
    Athens-Clarke County Unified Government2026-10-08Primary document
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    Mail Voting is Safe and Secure
    Bipartisan Policy Center2026-02-20Advocacy / think tankCentrist think tank.
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    Colorado Voting Reforms: Early Results
    The Pew Charitable Trusts2016-03Research
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    2024 Election Administration and Voting Survey public data (items C1a and C1c)
    U.S. Election Assistance Commission2026-02DataAll-mail group: CA, CO, DC, NV, OR, UT, VT, WA (Hawaii did not report undeliverable ballots), jurisdictions reporting both items. Everyone else includes territories and states with permanent mail lists, and some jurisdictions report zero. Rates vary widely, from 0.5% in Washington to 8.6% in D.C.
  32. 32
    Building Confidence in U.S. Elections: Report of the Commission on Federal Election Reform
    Commission on Federal Election Reform (copy hosted by the EAC)2005Primary document
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Think we got something wrong? Email editor@viewfromthegallery.com with a source. Corrections are made openly and logged on the page.